大坝安全监控指标的制定

本文论述了大坝安全监控指标的含义、制定安全监控指标的意义、制定安全监控指标的基本原则、制定大坝施工阶段和首次蓄水阶段以及运行阶段安全监控指标的方法。     

川西新场气田JS_2~1气藏测井多参数评价方法

针对川西新场气田JS12气藏开展了多参数的综合评价研究,多参数包括储层参数、裂缝参数、储层分类厚度参数。首先,开展了储层参数及裂缝参数的计算,以岩心分析结果为依据,建立了孔隙度、渗透率、含水饱和度计算模型。利用铸体薄片进行了微裂缝识别,对样品的裂缝参数和测井曲线进行相关分析,建立了测井计算裂缝参数的数学模型;其次,对储层进行聚类分析,通过聚类将储层分为三类;最后,将计算的裂缝参数、储层分类中的Ⅰ类储层厚度、孔渗饱等参数进行正态化处理,拟和测试的无阻流量与这些参数建立多元回归计算模型,即综合含气指标的数学计算模型。以综合含气指标为主要依据,进行储层综合分类和评价,指出了有利的含气区域和可供挖潜井的建议。该方法在指导气藏开发中获得了良好效果。     

分析介质光波导传播特性的Cole—Hopf变换法

采用Cole-Hopf变换法，将平板光波导导模所满足的二阶常微分方程（Helmholtz方程）变换成一阶常微分方程（Riccati方程），用较简单且有效的方法分析导模的特性。给出了多层阶跃型及渐变型平板波导导模的精确解析解和数值解法及实例；给出了非线性平板波导传播特性的数值计算法及实例。     

堆石料与基岩面直剪试验

介绍了堆石料与基岩面的现场直剪试验方法，6个组次的直剪试验结果表明，堆石料与基岩面的抗剪强度指标随基岩面坚硬度的增大而增加，并随基岩面粗糙度的加大而加大。     

Occupational Factors and 5-Year Weight Change Among Men in a Danish National Cohort.

This study explored whether factors related to the work environment could predict changes in body mass index (BMI) and whether the effect of psychosocial factors was dependent on baseline BMI. The sample consisted of 1,980 male employees from the Danish National Work Environment Cohort Study. Changes in BMI between 1995 and 2000 were analyzed, by multiple regression, as a function of background variables and a series of occupational variables obtained in 1995. Age, baseline BMI, job insecurity, and psychological demands predicted changes in BMI. Job insecurity and high or low psychological demands increased the likelihood of weight gain among obese employees, whereas they increased the likelihood of weight loss among employees with a low BMI. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2010 APA, all rights reserved)     

现役水工钢闸门结构可靠性鉴定时荷载取值分析

采用类比法确定现役水工钢闸门结构的荷载评估基准期。以静水压力为例，得了其在荷载评估基准期内的统计参数，讨论了闸门主梁受弯碱坏时可靠指标随继续使用期的变化。     

现代电子工业Cpk评价中的特殊问题

现代电子工业生产具有许多新的特点，如果不针对具体情况，均采用传统工业生产中广泛使用的常规方法计算其工序能力指数，评价生产工艺水平，将可能导致错误的结论。总结了电子工业生产中工艺参数的典型特点，并讨论了工序能力指数的正确计算方法。     

低孔隙度条件下阿尔奇含水饱和度解释模型改进

常用的阿尔奇公式是均匀较高孔隙度砂岩条件基础上岩电实验的结果,但在各种实际地层应用中存在一些不确定性.通过岩电实验数据分析研究了低孔隙度条件下地层因素F和饱和度指数n与孔隙度的关系,发现地层因素F和饱和度指数n都与孔隙度呈多次函数关系.从而直接用孔隙度求取地层因素F和饱和度指数n,而孔隙度可以很容易地用测井资料直接求取,所以实现饱和度模型中大部分参数直接用测井资料求取的目的,大大提高了含水饱和度的求取精度.     

正确选择气顶油藏高效开发模式

通过对不同类型气顶油藏的油气水分布特征及气顶和边水能量的研究分析，计算水侵量与边水体积及合理的弹性产率。提出适合气顶油藏特点的开发模式是先开采油区后开采气顶，并以唐家河油田港深18—2断块为例，证明采用该模式可以高效开发气顶油藏。图3表1参6     

Development of a recurrent Sigma-Pi neural network rainfall forecasting system in Hong Kong

At the moment, weather forecasting is still an art — the experience and intuition of forecasters play a significant role in determining the quality of forecasting. This paper describes the development of a new approach to rainfall forecasting using neural networks. It deals with the extraction of information from radar images and an evaluation of past rain gauge records to provide shortterm rainfall forecasting. All of the meteorological data were provided by the Royal Observatory of Hong Kong (ROHK). Preprocessing procedures were essential for this neural network rainfall forecasting. The forecast of the rainfall was performed every half an hour so that a storm warning signal can be delivered to the public in advance. The network architecture is based on a recurrent Sigma-Pi network. The results are very promising, and this neural-based rainfall forecasting system is capable of providing a rain storm warning signal to the Hong Kong public one hour ahead.